Saturday, July 27, 2019

Don't Blink Or You'll Miss It

Decades ago we moved to Colebrook, NH. Colebrook is the last stop on the bus line - the place you go to walk to the edge of the world and look off.
Main Street was 2 blocks long. If you were driving to Colebrook for the first time and stopped at a gas station outside of town and asked for directions how to get there, those directions would conclude with, "don't blink or you'll miss it."
After Mueller testified on Wednesday, Pelosi appeared for a press conference with Nadler, Schiff and Cummings in check. Pelosi, who had no role in the day's dramas, was ready to take a bow and share her vision for where we go from here.
"My position has always been, whatever decision we made in that regard would have to be with our strongest possible hand, and we still have some matters outstanding in the courts," Pelosi said, arguing that Democrats needed more information before considering impeachment.

https://www.politico.com/story/2019/07/24/pelosi-nadler-rebuff-impeachment-mueller-hearing-1432925

"House Judiciary Chairman Jerry Nadler pushed to launch impeachment proceedings against President Donald Trump during a closed-door meeting Wednesday, only to be rebuffed by Speaker Nancy Pelosi, according to four sources familiar with the discussions."
Two days later, Nadler held a press conference attended by Judiciary Committee members. Several members said the Committee has begun an Impeachment inquiry. When asked if he agrees that the committee is in an impeachment investigation, Nadler replied, “In effect.” Read the story it's all there.

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/donald-trump-impeachment-house-judiciary-committee_n_5d3b3952e4b0a6d6373f162a

That wasn't the only strange thing that happened after the hearings. A lot of news reports initially criticized Mueller's performance and said that the hearings had not moved the needle toward Impeachment.

Here are some of the early stories:

https://thehill.com/homenews/house/454640-mueller-testimony-fails-to-move-needle-on-impeachment

https://thehill.com/opinion/judiciary/454720-muellers-blockbuster-appearance-turned-into-bomb-of-performance

https://news.yahoo.com/muellers-testimony-didnt-move-us-213013129.html

So what happened? Did we blink? Did we miss something?
I thought Mueller did a powerful job.
Mueller was truckin'.



Apparently I was not alone. After the hearings 5 more House Democrats, Including Katherine Clark, came out calling for Impeachment hearings.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/highest-ranking-house-democrat-yet-calls-impeachment-trump-n1034826

The phones in the House began ringing. People started going on social media calling for demonstrations. The news reports changed. Huh?
What happened? Mueller did not say anything that wasn't in his original report. We had all this info the day Barr released the redacted version to the public on April 18th and that was 3 whole months ago.
Justin Amash said all this on May 18th.
There wasn't a majority of House members calling for Impeachment hearings yesterday, but Pelosi said that would be necessary before any Impeachment hearings could start. There were only 100 Democrats and 1 Republican in favor of Impeachment hearings yesterday.
The Senate Republicans are still as apt to vote to acquit Trump in a trial as they have been all along.
According to Politico, only 37% of voters support Impeachment hearings.

https://www.politico.com/story/2019/07/26/poll-impeachment-mueller-1437596

Pelosi had said there would be no Impeachment hearings until all that changed.

Wait, there's more. Pelosi did a photo op with AOC yesterday. Yep, now they're best buds.
AOC has been calling for Impeachment hearings all along.
So here's what I think happened. A lot of us kept daily pressure on Pelosi and the House Democrats to start Impeachment hearings. We humiliated Pelosi for blocking them. We humiliated House Democrats for not standing up to her. We threatened marches and sit-ins. We made our voices heard.
Pelosi wielded power in the House. House members acquiesced to her. The MSM agreed with her. Her trolls came after those of us who dared to question her - she knows more than we do - she's smarter than us - she's got more experience - she plays three dimensional chess - she knows what's she's doing. 
So did we blink, no! We persevered! And, we need to keep persevering. The real power in this country rests in the hands of the people and we must never, ever allow anyone to tell us different. We must never surrender it or let someone take it from us.
I think Pelosi was told to get on board or get left behind by the Democratic Caucus in the House. That was the message we sent them. That was the message they gave her.
It's a whole new day! Today we begin in earnest.
Holy Moly!

Thursday, July 25, 2019

We're Not On The Road To Impeachment

Robert Mueller went to Washington, D.C. today and proved himself to be the most non-partisan man in the country. He also proved himself to be professional, honest, trustworthy, intelligent, competent and patriotic.
Mueller was calm and laid back as he testified for hours before 2 House Committees. He began at the House Judiciary Committee chaired by Jerry Nadler.
For over 3 hours Mueller answered all questions. In that time he managed, by virtue of his demeanor and character, to enable the Republicans attacking him to demonstrate to anyone watching just how corrupt and despicable they truly are.
Without breaking a sweat, Mueller broke them. They were left with nothing. Their willingness to betray their country was fully exposed.  
Mueller refused to be the straight man for the Democrats. He was his own impeccable man.
Mueller made several things perfectly clear - his report did not exonerate Trump; it did not clear Trump of any wrongdoings in regard to Russia; and it showed that Trump had obstructed justice many, many times.
Mueller also made it clear that Russia was engaged in sweeping, systematic cyber warfare against our government - a war that started years before the 2016 elections and continues on to this day - a war that will only get worse come 2020.
In the end, Mueller laid the responsibility for holding Trump accountable where it belonged - in Congress. Holding a criminal President responsible is the duty of Congress. Mueller never said the word "Impeachment", he didn't have to. Impeachment was looming large and apparent to everyone.
The Democrats on the Committee embraced this and repeatedly implied that they were ready to deal with Trump's high crimes and misdemeanors. Almost every Democrat on the Committee ended her/his questioning by saying "no one is above the law".
In the afternoon, Mueller testified before the House Intelligence Committee chaired by Adam Schiff.
Adam made an opening statement that was a blistering indictment of Trump. It did not equivocate. Schiff made it clear that Trump had betrayed our country and that he would be held accountable for his actions.
The Republicans spent their time attacking Mueller and advocating for Barr to investigate the basis for Mueller's investigation. Yep, they are advancing a whole new conspiracy theory - Russia was working for Hillary.
Mueller stressed that Russia is a dangerous enemy of the United States and that we must take action to protect ourselves from further harm. Putin is not our friend - those who befriend him betray us.
Democrats on the Committee reaffirmed that Congress is responsible for protecting us from a criminal President. They seemed to know where their duties lie.
After the hearings commentators and pundits engaged in banal, fatuous chatter. Mueller was basically criticized for being a straightforward man who did exactly what he said he would do all along - his testimony was his report.
Apparently Mueller wasn't entertaining enough for most of those who covered the hearings. That's what their analysis amounted to.
Never mind that everybody who watched him knew he was telling the God's honest truth and that Trump was a man who betrayed his country. Yeah, Mueller was too much like Walter Cronkite.
After all was said and done, Pelosi appeared for a press conference with Nadler, Schiff and Cummings in check. Pelosi, who had no role in today's dramas, was ready to take a bow and share her vision for where we go from here. 
Buckle up, we're not going home to the House to begin Impeachment hearings. We're going to Oz.
Holy Moly!

Thursday, July 11, 2019

The Mueller Report - Volume I - Russia

I've just finished reading Volume I of "The Mueller Report". Volume I deals directly with Russian interference with the 2016 elections.
There are different editions of "The Mueller Report". The actual report should be the same in each edition. The various introductions and analyses are not. I chose the edition done by The Washington Post.
There is one with an introduction by Alan Dershowitz. I avoided that. Alan is a Trump apologist. I also have trouble trusting anybody that finds a need to publicly post that he kept his underwear on while getting a massage at Epstein's. I mean, really?
If I were buying it anew, I would go with a large print version. It was hard for me to make out the small type. My eyes aren't what they used to be.
I would also urge people to just read Mueller's actual report. The commentary is distracting and I found a mistake early on. All the versions are redacted. Even with that, there's plenty there.
It's worth noting that if your only information on "The Mueller Report" is based on Attorney General Barr's initial 4 page summary, you know absolutely nothing about Mueller's actual report, because Attorney General Barr is simply not an honest man.
This is the first of 2 posts I will do on Mueller's report. I will do the second after I finish Volume II. Why am I doing this in pieces? Am I putting the cart before the horse? Writing before I've finished reading?
No. Volume I and Volume II cover very different subject matter. Volume II covers obstruction of justice. Mueller's investigation was not an investigation of Donald Trump. Mueller was charged with investigating Russian interference.
If you read Volume I you will learn of Russian interference. Mueller has already secured convictions of various Russians involved in interfering with the 2016 elections. He has also secured guilty pleas and convictions for several of the people working for Trump. 
Mueller's report also documents Russian involvement with lots of Trump's campaign staff and family. Oodles of collusion with Russians is documented in the report.
So did Mueller clear Trump and his campaign from conspiring with Russia during the 2016 elections? No. Did he explain what conspiracy would be under applicable statutes? Yes. Did he charge Trump with criminal conspiracy? No.
Confusing? Only if you let it be. Only if you let someone muddy the waters with irrelevancies and distractions. Here are the salient points:

1. In order to convict someone of a crime, you must be able to prove your case "beyond a reasonable doubt". Mueller can prove collusion with Russia, but collusion is not a crime, conspiracy is.
2. In several instances, Mueller did not believe he had sufficient evidence that would meet the "beyond a reasonable doubt" standard in regard to conspiracy with Russia.

There are lots of examples of collusion. The June 9, 2016 meeting in Trump Towers is sufficient to explain what I am talking about. The following quote begins on page 185 and ends on page 186 of Volume I.


"The Office considered whether to charge Trump Campaign officials with crimes in connection with the June 9 meeting described in Volume I, Section IV.A.5, supra. The Office concluded that, in light of the government's substantial burden of proof on issues of intent ("knowing" and "willful"), and the difficulty of establishing the value of the offered information, criminal charges would not meet the Justice Manual standard that "the admissible evidence will probably be sufficient to obtain and sustain a conviction." Justice Manual§ 9-27.220.

In brief, the key facts are that, on June 3, 2016, Robert Goldstone emailed Donald Trump Jr., to pass along from Emin and Aras Agalarov an "offer" from Russia's "Crown prosecutor" to "the Trump campaign" of "official documents and information that would incriminate Hillary and her dealings with Russia and would be very useful to [Trump Jr. 's] father. " The email described this as "very high level and sensitive information" that is "part of Russia and its government's support to Mr. Trump-helped along by Aras and Emin." Trump Jr. responded: "if it's what you say I love it especially later in the summer." Trump Jr. and Emin Agalarov had follow-up conversations and, within days, scheduled a meeting with Russian representatives that was attended by Trump Jr., Manafort, and Kushner. The communications setting up the meeting and the attendance by high-level Campaign representatives support an inference that the Campaign anticipated receiving derogatory documents and information from official Russian sources that could assist candidate Trump's electoral prospects.

This series of events could implicate the federal election-law ban on contributions and donations by foreign nationals, 52 U.S.C. § 3012l(a)(l)(A). Specifically, Goldstone passed along an offer purportedly from a Russian government official to provide "official documents and information" to the Trump Campaign for the purposes of influencing the presidential election. Trump Jr. appears to have accepted that offer and to have arranged a meeting to receive those materials. Documentary evidence in the form of email chains supports the inference that Kushner and Manafort were aware of that purpose and attended the June 9 meeting anticipating the receipt of helpful information to the Campaign from Russian sources.

The Office considered whether this evidence would establish a conspiracy to violate the foreign contributions ban, in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 3 71; the solicitation of an illegal foreignsource contribution; or the acceptance or receipt of "an express or implied promise to make a 185 U.S. Department of Justice Attofftey Wofk Pfoclttet // Mtty CotttttiH Mtttefittl Pfoteetecl UHcler Fed. R.. Criffl. P. 6(e) [foreign-source] contribution," both in violation of 52 U.S.C. § 3012l(a)(l)(A), (a)(2). There are reasonable arguments that the offered information would constitute a "thing of value" within the meaning of these provisions, but the Office determined that the government would not be likely to obtain and sustain a conviction for two other reasons: first, the Office did not obtain admissible evidence likely to meet the government's burden to prove beyond a reasonable doubt that these individuals acted "willfully," i.e., with general knowledge of the illegality of their conduct; and, second, the government would likely encounter difficulty in proving beyond a reasonable doubt that the value of the promised information exceeded the threshold for a criminal violation, see 52 U.S.C. § 30109( d)(l )(A)(i)."

At the June 9th meeting we have Don, Jr., Kushner and Manafort meeting with lots of Russians.
Yes, they colluded royally, but Mueller's staff didn't believe they had evidence "beyond a reasonable doubt" that Junior, Jared and Paul conspired criminally.
That is different from the evidence Mueller had on the 13 Russian nationals who were indicted on February 16, 2018 and charged with a "conspiracy to defraud the United States". Mueller's investigators believed they could prove conspiracy "beyond a reasonable doubt". So did the grand jury.
So let me add this to what I've said and emphasize it. In order to Impeach a president, you do not have to prove a crime was committed. There is no standard such as "beyond a reasonable doubt" that must be met. Yep, Congress could Impeach a president for colluding with another country on the basis of the collusion putting our country at risk, jeopardizing our elections, etc.
That's not all. Here are some important facts regarding Mueller's position as Special Counsel.

1. Mueller was a DOJ employee working under DOJ rules and regulations.
2. He was not allowed to indict a president based upon DOJ policy.
3. He was required to turn his confidential report into the Attorney General when it was completed.

Trump was not the focus of Mueller's investigation. Russian interference was the focus of Mueller's investigation.
I repeat, Mueller didn't start out investigating Trump. He started out investigating Russian interference. He was hunting Russians. He wasn't hunting Americans or witches.
That's a significant point. In the investigation of Russia, the evidence that was being uncovered led Mueller to Trump and others associated with him and in his organization.
It didn't help matters when Trump started accusing our Intelligence Community of conspiring against him. It didn't help matters when Trump refused to look at the evidence and, instead, started defending Putin and Russia.
There is one other thing that needs to be pointed out. Mueller's people were frustrated over and over again in their attempts to obtain evidence by Trump and his minions.
Trump refused to be be interviewed in person. He submitted written answers to some questions and he often said he couldn't remember in his answers. 
Many of the people who were interviewed lied and submitted false and contradictory information to the investigators.
This is a good lead in to Volume II. Stay tuned.
Holy Moly!