Thursday, July 11, 2019

The Mueller Report - Volume I - Russia

I've just finished reading Volume I of "The Mueller Report". Volume I deals directly with Russian interference with the 2016 elections.
There are different editions of "The Mueller Report". The actual report should be the same in each edition. The various introductions and analyses are not. I chose the edition done by The Washington Post.
There is one with an introduction by Alan Dershowitz. I avoided that. Alan is a Trump apologist. I also have trouble trusting anybody that finds a need to publicly post that he kept his underwear on while getting a massage at Epstein's. I mean, really?
If I were buying it anew, I would go with a large print version. It was hard for me to make out the small type. My eyes aren't what they used to be.
I would also urge people to just read Mueller's actual report. The commentary is distracting and I found a mistake early on. All the versions are redacted. Even with that, there's plenty there.
It's worth noting that if your only information on "The Mueller Report" is based on Attorney General Barr's initial 4 page summary, you know absolutely nothing about Mueller's actual report, because Attorney General Barr is simply not an honest man.
This is the first of 2 posts I will do on Mueller's report. I will do the second after I finish Volume II. Why am I doing this in pieces? Am I putting the cart before the horse? Writing before I've finished reading?
No. Volume I and Volume II cover very different subject matter. Volume II covers obstruction of justice. Mueller's investigation was not an investigation of Donald Trump. Mueller was charged with investigating Russian interference.
If you read Volume I you will learn of Russian interference. Mueller has already secured convictions of various Russians involved in interfering with the 2016 elections. He has also secured guilty pleas and convictions for several of the people working for Trump. 
Mueller's report also documents Russian involvement with lots of Trump's campaign staff and family. Oodles of collusion with Russians is documented in the report.
So did Mueller clear Trump and his campaign from conspiring with Russia during the 2016 elections? No. Did he explain what conspiracy would be under applicable statutes? Yes. Did he charge Trump with criminal conspiracy? No.
Confusing? Only if you let it be. Only if you let someone muddy the waters with irrelevancies and distractions. Here are the salient points:

1. In order to convict someone of a crime, you must be able to prove your case "beyond a reasonable doubt". Mueller can prove collusion with Russia, but collusion is not a crime, conspiracy is.
2. In several instances, Mueller did not believe he had sufficient evidence that would meet the "beyond a reasonable doubt" standard in regard to conspiracy with Russia.

There are lots of examples of collusion. The June 9, 2016 meeting in Trump Towers is sufficient to explain what I am talking about. The following quote begins on page 185 and ends on page 186 of Volume I.


"The Office considered whether to charge Trump Campaign officials with crimes in connection with the June 9 meeting described in Volume I, Section IV.A.5, supra. The Office concluded that, in light of the government's substantial burden of proof on issues of intent ("knowing" and "willful"), and the difficulty of establishing the value of the offered information, criminal charges would not meet the Justice Manual standard that "the admissible evidence will probably be sufficient to obtain and sustain a conviction." Justice Manual§ 9-27.220.

In brief, the key facts are that, on June 3, 2016, Robert Goldstone emailed Donald Trump Jr., to pass along from Emin and Aras Agalarov an "offer" from Russia's "Crown prosecutor" to "the Trump campaign" of "official documents and information that would incriminate Hillary and her dealings with Russia and would be very useful to [Trump Jr. 's] father. " The email described this as "very high level and sensitive information" that is "part of Russia and its government's support to Mr. Trump-helped along by Aras and Emin." Trump Jr. responded: "if it's what you say I love it especially later in the summer." Trump Jr. and Emin Agalarov had follow-up conversations and, within days, scheduled a meeting with Russian representatives that was attended by Trump Jr., Manafort, and Kushner. The communications setting up the meeting and the attendance by high-level Campaign representatives support an inference that the Campaign anticipated receiving derogatory documents and information from official Russian sources that could assist candidate Trump's electoral prospects.

This series of events could implicate the federal election-law ban on contributions and donations by foreign nationals, 52 U.S.C. § 3012l(a)(l)(A). Specifically, Goldstone passed along an offer purportedly from a Russian government official to provide "official documents and information" to the Trump Campaign for the purposes of influencing the presidential election. Trump Jr. appears to have accepted that offer and to have arranged a meeting to receive those materials. Documentary evidence in the form of email chains supports the inference that Kushner and Manafort were aware of that purpose and attended the June 9 meeting anticipating the receipt of helpful information to the Campaign from Russian sources.

The Office considered whether this evidence would establish a conspiracy to violate the foreign contributions ban, in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 3 71; the solicitation of an illegal foreignsource contribution; or the acceptance or receipt of "an express or implied promise to make a 185 U.S. Department of Justice Attofftey Wofk Pfoclttet // Mtty CotttttiH Mtttefittl Pfoteetecl UHcler Fed. R.. Criffl. P. 6(e) [foreign-source] contribution," both in violation of 52 U.S.C. § 3012l(a)(l)(A), (a)(2). There are reasonable arguments that the offered information would constitute a "thing of value" within the meaning of these provisions, but the Office determined that the government would not be likely to obtain and sustain a conviction for two other reasons: first, the Office did not obtain admissible evidence likely to meet the government's burden to prove beyond a reasonable doubt that these individuals acted "willfully," i.e., with general knowledge of the illegality of their conduct; and, second, the government would likely encounter difficulty in proving beyond a reasonable doubt that the value of the promised information exceeded the threshold for a criminal violation, see 52 U.S.C. § 30109( d)(l )(A)(i)."

At the June 9th meeting we have Don, Jr., Kushner and Manafort meeting with lots of Russians.
Yes, they colluded royally, but Mueller's staff didn't believe they had evidence "beyond a reasonable doubt" that Junior, Jared and Paul conspired criminally.
That is different from the evidence Mueller had on the 13 Russian nationals who were indicted on February 16, 2018 and charged with a "conspiracy to defraud the United States". Mueller's investigators believed they could prove conspiracy "beyond a reasonable doubt". So did the grand jury.
So let me add this to what I've said and emphasize it. In order to Impeach a president, you do not have to prove a crime was committed. There is no standard such as "beyond a reasonable doubt" that must be met. Yep, Congress could Impeach a president for colluding with another country on the basis of the collusion putting our country at risk, jeopardizing our elections, etc.
That's not all. Here are some important facts regarding Mueller's position as Special Counsel.

1. Mueller was a DOJ employee working under DOJ rules and regulations.
2. He was not allowed to indict a president based upon DOJ policy.
3. He was required to turn his confidential report into the Attorney General when it was completed.

Trump was not the focus of Mueller's investigation. Russian interference was the focus of Mueller's investigation.
I repeat, Mueller didn't start out investigating Trump. He started out investigating Russian interference. He was hunting Russians. He wasn't hunting Americans or witches.
That's a significant point. In the investigation of Russia, the evidence that was being uncovered led Mueller to Trump and others associated with him and in his organization.
It didn't help matters when Trump started accusing our Intelligence Community of conspiring against him. It didn't help matters when Trump refused to look at the evidence and, instead, started defending Putin and Russia.
There is one other thing that needs to be pointed out. Mueller's people were frustrated over and over again in their attempts to obtain evidence by Trump and his minions.
Trump refused to be be interviewed in person. He submitted written answers to some questions and he often said he couldn't remember in his answers. 
Many of the people who were interviewed lied and submitted false and contradictory information to the investigators.
This is a good lead in to Volume II. Stay tuned.
Holy Moly!

Sunday, June 9, 2019

The Time Has Come, I Think It Has, To Speak Of Many Things, Of All The Troubles That We've Had, Our Many Sufferings

I once had a speaking role in a college play. The play was a spoof put on in the student union before Christmas recess. I played Captain Hook. I only had one line.
There were no other "Peter Pan" characters in the play. I'm not even sure what the play was about. Nevertheless, I got to say this line:


The Time Has Come, I Think It Has, To Speak Of Many Things
Of All The Troubles That We've Had, Our Many Sufferings

I believe the line is an allusion to a line in "Alice In Wonderland".
So, here I am opening this post with the only line I ever got to speak on stage. It could have been in 1964. It's an appropriate opening because I intend to speak of many things and many sufferings and I'm gonna start with this guy waiting in the wings.
During the 1992 elections, we were registered Democrats living in New Hampshire. What fun - not! We were subjected to a non-stop barrage of telephone calls from people taking political polls.
Yep, New Hampshire was "first in the nation" in terms of presidential primaries. I would have preferred us being first in the nation in terms of minding your own business.
On a Sunday night after 10 p.m., I got a call from a Democratic pollster who wanted to know who I was going to vote for in the primaries. Without hesitation, I answered Reggie Jackson.
This caught the young man who was polling me off guard. From the smarmy tone of his voice I could tell he was upset having to talk to a yokel. After a pause he said, "You mean Jessie Jackson". It wasn't a question, it was a statement.
I responded with a clear "no" and he responded with an angry "Reggie Jackson is a baseball player, you mean Jessie Jackson". I said I knew who Jessie Jackson was, but I was voting for Reggie Jackson. I told him all black people didn't look alike to me and I could easily distinguish between the two and I knew who I was voting for.
This guy was clearly determined to complete his poll and pressed on. He said, "Why are you voting for a baseball player to be the Democratic candidate for President?" I responded, "I want someone who'll hit a home run for our country". That did it. This guy was angry with me and he had no desire to hide it.
He admonished me. He said, "This is serious and you are making a mockery of it." I told him that it was late on a Sunday night and that he was lucky I couldn't reach through the phone.
Truth be told, I wasn't a fan of Bill Clinton. I voted for him during the elections, but he was too much of a yuppie for me - same for Hillary.
Bill was a new kind of Democrat. He was a member of the Democratic Leadership Council (DLC). He was a charter member I believe.
While Bill was President, the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act, which repealed the Glass-Steagall Act was passed. He also signed the Commodity Futures Modernization Act and rewrote the Commodity Futures Modernization Act. So what - right?
I'll go out on a limb here and say those three things helped bring about the financial crisis we saw under George W. Bush's tenure. You know the one that left us on the precipice starring into another Great Depression.
Clinton didn't cause Bush's Great Recession, he just approved legislation that made it all possible. Bush and the Neo-Cons and the Republicans in Congress went wild. Ya'll remember K Street and the Iraq War don't cha?
We should all be eternally grateful to President Obama for pulling our collective asses out of the fire, restoring our economy, and saving our major industries. Don't take my word for it, ask a shark.
Bill Clinton, yes, I voted for him twice, also may have contributed to George W. Bush winning the 2000 election. Call me crazy. I think his behavior was a major factor in Bush's win.
Let's agree to disagree on that if you find it too hard to swallow. Let's just take note of one other thing. The Koch brothers were contributors to the Democratic Leadership Council (DLC).
It's easy to see Donald Trump and the Republican Congress for what they are. They are basically a criminal and treasonous conspiracy that has taken over our government and turned our country into a kelptocracy.
Faced with that, the choices in 2018 and 2020 were/are easy. We must vote for every Democrat on the ticket. We must vote the crooks out. Voting for anybody but the Democrats on the ballot is voting for the Republicans and Trump. Vote blue no matter who.
The thing is that the overwhelming abuses of Trump and the Republicans have caused us to forget. We are in shock. Lawlessness has become the new law in our country.
The task before us is clear. However, the Democrats are no angels. They are politicians as well. We need to be able to call them out and hold them responsible even when we are pledging to vote only for them in 2020.
Yeah, I made that pollster crazy too. So here's the deal, we gave the Democrats back control of the House in 2018. I don't know about you, but I voted straight Democrat to stop Trump. We can't just storm the castle. We are a Republic after all.
Mueller handed in his report months ago. I was content to wait for that to happen and let the House Democrats wait as well. I am no longer content to wait and that's all we are being told by the House Democrats - by Nancy Pelosi to be precise.
To be specific, the House must move to hold Trump accountable. They must start Impeachment Hearings. They're not, and all of the reasons being offered for delaying are bullshit.
I'm a Democrat. I'm a Democrat with his eyes open. I don't fall in lockstep with any party. I don't trust politicians. I do what I can to hold any and all politicians accountable - even the ones I vote for.
If there are no good reasons for preventing and/or delaying Impeachment now, then we are left to consider the bad ones. I suspect the bad ones are much like the reasons Jeffrey Epstein was basically let off with a slap on the wrist.
Jeffrey Epstein was not fully prosecuted because his clients included rich and powerful people from around the world. It was not just Trump and Republicans using Epstein's services. There were plenty of prominent Democrats to go around. Epstein's plea deal was a complete and total travesty of justice.
Not Impeaching Trump begs the question. Who's got what on who? Who's Pelosi covering for/protecting? On May 31st, Pelosi appeared on Jimmy Kimmel's show and said, "I probably have a better idea as to what the president has to be held accountable for than anyone."
Really? What about Mueller? On May 29th in a live press conference, Mueller said, If we had had confidence that the President clearly did not commit a crime, we would have said so." He also said, "... the Constitution requires a process other than the criminal justice system to formally accuse a sitting President of wrongdoing."
I trust and respect Robert Mueller. I am reading the Mueller Report and I am doing so ever so slowly, I think Mueller is a genius. He managed to get the equivalent of a fully documented manuscript out of a concentration camp even after a new commandant was brought in to kill him.
I no longer trust Nancy Pelosi. I am angry at her and I am angry at others who have not stood up to her. They need to stop lending credibility to her nonsense by acquiescing to her demands to forestall Impeachment.
There are certainly many things that have left us wondering.Why did Justice Kennedy suddenly resign his seat on the Supreme Court?
Why isn't Richard Neal, Chairman of the House Ways and Means committee asking New York State for Trumps tax returns? He says he doesn't want to allow Trump to say he's on a "fishing expedition". WTF?
Oh yeah, a new story just came out. Apparently the Kochs are considering donating to Democrats in the 2020 elections.
The time to speak is now. Trump must be Impeached now. We need to take our country back.
Holy Moly!